Mantic

Search for Mantic questions by free-text query, or list the most recently forecasted questions when no query is given. Returns the top results with their public URLs — render these as clickable links when presenting them. Use view_question with one of the returned IDs to drill into a single forecast.

search_questions

View a Mantic question by ID and render it with the question widget. For numerical and date forecasts the widget renders a CDF chart. Use this after finding a question with the search_questions tool.

view_question

Fetch one forecast by its numeric ID, including the predicted distribution and a detailed text summary of the reasoning (the `reasoning` field — the full long-form report when available: historical context, headwinds, tailwinds, key figures, detailed reasoning, uncertainties, conclusion) alongside its question. Use this to drill into a forecast ID returned by list_forecasts or get_question_forecasts.

Fetch the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of one numerical, date, or event forecast by its numeric ID, as a mapping from outcome value to cumulative probability. Optionally pass `ticks` (a JSON array of numbers for numerical questions, or ISO datetimes for date/event questions) to sample the CDF at exactly those points — e.g. the probability the outcome lands at or below a threshold. Get the forecast ID from list_forecasts or get_question_forecasts; categorical forecasts have no CDF.

List every forecast made for a single question, newest first, in pages of 25 (page further back with the returned `next` cursor as `after`). The response carries the question (with its public `url`) once at the top level, alongside the forecast history. Use this to see how the prediction for one question evolved over time; get the question_id from search_questions or view_question.

List the Mantic dashboards (curated question lists) the current user can see, newest activity first. Each dashboard has a numeric `id`, a title, and a question count. Use search_dashboard_questions with a dashboard `id` to explore the questions it contains.

List the most recent Mantic forecasts across all questions, newest first, in pages of 25. Pass the returned `next` cursor as `after` to page further back in time. Each item links to its question; use view_question for the full question context or get_forecast for one forecast's details. Prefer search_questions when you are looking for a specific topic rather than browsing the latest activity.

Search the questions on one dashboard by free-text `search`, or list them (most recently added first, in pages of 25) when no `search` is given. Get the `dashboard_id` from list_dashboards. Pass the returned `next` cursor as `after` to page further (browsing only; search results are not paged). Each item links to its question; use view_question with a returned ID for the full forecast. This is search_questions scoped to a single dashboard.